Biden’s border policy to curb illegal immigration, end asylum

Biden’s border policy to curb illegal immigration, end asylum

Border officials tracked 2.3 million people crossing the southwest border in 2022 just as millions of migrants have before them, compelled by economic hardship, rising violence and oppression in their homelands.

The Biden administration responded with an unpopular plan to manage this historic influx, promoting a pandemic-era policy that leans heavily on the speedy removal of border crossers as well as a sponsorship program with new legal immigration pathways. The scheme comes amid fervent partisan squabbling, raging humanitarian crises abroad, a rise in domestic nativism and smuggling networks that are increasingly tech-savvy and well-organized. The need for the country’s leaders to find a long range solution and their inability to compromise are at a deadlock.

TIMELINE: 40 years of U.S. border policy, from Reagan and Bush to Biden

Biden’s solution to this complex conundrum follows decades of White House efforts to manage the ebb and flow of migrants along the 2,000-mile southwest border.

Like his predecessors, Biden has tried to balance humanitarian, security and economic needs with logistical realities. This review of how previous presidents tackled these same questions offers context for today’s crisis.

Undocumented Mexican commuters dash to their jobs on the U.S. side of the border, from Juarez, Mexico, to El Paso in February 1987. 

Undocumented Mexican commuters dash to their jobs on the U.S. side of the border, from Juarez, Mexico, to El Paso in February 1987. 

Carlos Antonio Rios/Houston Chronicle

Reagan

During his tenure, President Ronald Reagan ushered in one of the most significant immigration reforms in modern history – the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.

The bill created a path to citizenship for law-abiding undocumented immigrants already living in the U.S., a process commonly known as “amnesty.” It also mandated penalties for employers who knowingly hired undocumented immigrants, during a period where many people crossing the border without authorization were Mexicans looking for work.

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Reagan’s amnesty was successful in bringing millions of undocumented immigrants out of the shadows, however it failed to curb future illegal immigration, as it left in loopholes that gave employers the opportunity to hire people with fake documents.

Towards the end of Reagan’s run, civil war in El Salvador and governmental repression in China triggered a spike in asylum seekers from those countries. By the time George H.W. Bush took office, Congress had created Temporary Protected Status to offer some of these migrants time-limited work permits so they could stay and work in the country legally, though it did not offer a permanent visa.

President Ronald Reagan, in the Roosevelt Room, signs the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.

President Ronald Reagan, in the Roosevelt Room, signs the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.

National Archives

Clinton

During the 1980s, southwest border officials went from processing relatively few asylum seekers to hundreds of thousands by the 1990s, according to Muzaffar Chishti, an analyst at the Migration Policy Institute. 

“Numbers explain everything,” said Chishti. He attributes stricter asylum policies to that uptick in Central American asylum seekers at the border.

That increase, along with a newly Republican majority Congress in 1994, set a more authoritative tone towards migrants during the Clinton administration. The president deployed 400 border agents and fleets of new vehicles to patrol the border near El Paso. 

El Paso Border Patrol Agent Alfonso Trujillo does his best to police the 1,952 miles that separate the US from Mexico in February 1987. 

El Paso Border Patrol Agent Alfonso Trujillo does his best to police the 1,952 miles that separate the US from Mexico in February 1987. 

Carlos Antonio Rios/Houston Chronicle

Additionally, the Republican-led Congress drafted a major immigration bill to hasten deportation for people crossing the border illegally, a process called “expedited removal.” Exemptions were made for people who passed a credible fear interview: If they told border agents they feared persecution at home, they would be allowed to enter and make their case before an immigration judge. 

By 1997, a total of 6,300 border agents were policing the southwest border, roughly twice the number the feds had employed in 1987, according to the Cato Institute. 

Bush

President George W. Bush campaigned on comprehensive immigration reform. Any hope of legislative change was dashed within the first year of his administration, after the 9/11 terrorist attacks reframed border and immigration policy with a new laser focus on homeland security. 

Early in the Bush administration, Congress created a Department of Homeland Security and within the new agency, Customs and Border Protection. The move consolidated the border, customs, safety and security arms of the U.S. government under one roof. 

In 2006, Congress authorized 850 miles of border fence and additional Border Patrol staff. But the influx of migrants only grew and, by 2007, the undocumented immigrant population reached a peak of 12.2 million people.

Obama

Facing pressure over this record-breaking undocumented population, President Barack Obama focused, especially during his first term, on removing undocumented immigrants already living in the U.S., earning him the moniker “deporter-in-chief.” 

His administration also saw an uptick of migrants arriving for humanitarian reasons. When Obama took office, just 1{c024931d10daf6b71b41321fa9ba9cd89123fb34a4039ac9f079a256e3c1e6e8} of border crossers were either asylum seekers or migrant children traveling alone. By 2018, that share ballooned to roughly 33{c024931d10daf6b71b41321fa9ba9cd89123fb34a4039ac9f079a256e3c1e6e8}, according to analysis by the Migration Policy Institute

In response, in 2012, Obama created the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, which allowed undocumented young people brought to the U.S. as children to obtain work authorization and remain in the U.S. with temporary protection from deportation. 

DACA IMPACT: In 10 years of DACA, ‘Dreamers’ have worked to save lives in Houston, from Harvey to the pandemic

By the end of his tenure, Obama had deported more than 1.2 million people, more than any other president, the undocumented population had declined to 10.7 million and Border Patrol had 17,000 agents patrolling as roughly 650 miles of fencing blocked entries along the southwest border, according to the Cato Institute. 

Trump

After campaigning on a strong anti-immigrant, nativist platform, President Donald Trump made historic moves to limit the legal avenues for asylum seekers seeking humanitarian relief in the U.S. and curb the number of unauthorized border crossers. 

In 2018, Trump’s “zero tolerance” policy prompted the separation of thousands of migrant children from their parents in an effort to deter migrants from arriving at the border. 

TRUMP’S BORDER CRACKDOWN: New ‘zero tolerance’ policy overwhelms South Texas courts

The Trump administration implemented three additional policies which effectively barred certain migrants from getting asylum: the transit ban, Remain in Mexico and Title 42. Efrén Olivares, deputy legal director at the Southern Poverty Law Center, and other attorneys, have said these policies violate international treaties, international human rights laws, and domestic laws.

By the end of Trump’s term, with COVID-19 raging, border officials were denying immigrants access to asylum by quickly removing them from the country through Title 42, under a provision of the U.S. health code. 

Biden

After a dip in border crossings in 2020, during the first year of pandemic-era restrictions, the number of crossings spiked and reached record numbers when President Joe Biden took office – even though Title 42 remained intact. 

Political and economic turmoil in Latin America and the Caribbean during the pandemic spurred historic numbers along with the migrant misperceptions that Biden had more welcoming border policies. 

“Biden’s immigration rhetoric during his campaign may have been the biggest pull factor for people coming to the border,” said Chishti, the migration policy analyst.

People, mostly recently arriving Cubans, line up to sign up for federal benefits at YMCA International Services on Aug. 15, 2022, in Houston. Hundreds of Cubans are crossing the U.S.-Mexico border and coming to Houston-area refugee resettlement agencies for help starting new lives in this region. Houston historically has not been a destination for Cuban immigrants.

People, mostly recently arriving Cubans, line up to sign up for federal benefits at YMCA International Services on Aug. 15, 2022, in Houston. Hundreds of Cubans are crossing the U.S.-Mexico border and coming to Houston-area refugee resettlement agencies for help starting new lives in this region. Houston historically has not been a destination for Cuban immigrants.

Yi-Chin Lee/Staff photographer

Savvy smugglers would misrepresent Biden’s policies to migrants, giving the false impression the border was open — misinformation that was amplified by social media. 

Now, Biden’s new proposal expands the use of Trump-era Title 42 expulsions, allowing border officials to quickly send away migrants at the border and stop them from seeking asylum, while also providing safe, legal opportunities for Haitians, Cubans and Nicaraguans to enter the country. 

Houston immigration attorney Ruby Powers said after years of inconsistencies of how asylum seekers are treated at the border, she sees the new plan as a step in the right direction. 

“I think we’re turning a corner and trying to be more humane and understanding,” said Powers, “It’s not perfect, but I think I’m seeing some improvement.” 

U.S. Supreme Court wrestles over Biden’s immigration enforcement policy

U.S. Supreme Court wrestles over Biden’s immigration enforcement policy

Courts Set to Shape US Immigration Policy in 2023

Courts Set to Shape US Immigration Policy in 2023

U.S. judges will be creating crucial rulings on immigration in 2023, taking part in a substantial part in shaping the nation’s immigration policy.

Congress has not revised American immigration laws comprehensively since 1990, and Cornell Regulation College Professor Stephen Yale-Loehr explained to VOA that endeavours by subsequent administrations to revise the immigration method via executive orders are tied up in court battles.

“Courts are not a very good way to take care of immigration,” he explained to VOA.

In this article are some of the major circumstances ahead of the courts.

United States v. Texas

In 2022, the U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments in United States v. Texas, a lawsuit in which the Republican-led states of Louisiana and Texas argued that the Biden administration’s enforcement priorities are illegal.

The litigation stemmed from a September 2021 directive from the Department of Homeland Stability that concentrated deportation efforts on individuals considered an “egregious threat to general public safety” or who had fully commited acts of espionage or terrorism. Any individual in the U.S. with out documentation, having said that, nonetheless challenges deportation.

Yale-Loehr mentioned that based mostly on the oral arguments, it is not obvious how the courtroom will rule. A conclusion is envisioned this expression.

Title 42

The Supreme Court docket justices will also determine the destiny of Title 42. The courtroom is to hear arguments in the situation in February.

Title 42 is a community health and fitness coverage that makes it possible for for the fast expulsion of migrants throughout general public wellness emergencies. The use of the health and fitness purchase, which immigration advocates say is no for a longer time required, started in March 2020 and has assisted to create a backlog in Mexico of migrants looking for asylum in the United States.

In November 2022, a U.S. District Court docket decide purchased Biden to lift Title 42 restrictions at the U.S.-Mexico border. The circumstance right before the Supreme Court docket is about no matter whether states can problem that U.S. District Court determination.

Omar Jadwat, director of the American Civil Liberties Union Immigrants’ Rights Challenge, explained Title 42 is most likely to be an ongoing concern in 2023 depending on how the Supreme Court docket rules.

“There were being some disagreements when Title 42 initial rolled out in excess of whether or not it was even maybe justified by community health and fitness issues. But at this issue, nobody I feel is severely suggesting that you will find any public health and fitness justification for Title 42,” Jadwat mentioned.

DACA

The Biden administration revised the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, or DACA, plan in 2022, placing it by the official rulemaking procedure to improve its odds of satisfying the arguments that it was not effectively created. Because its inception in 2012, it has protected from deportation hundreds of hundreds of undocumented immigrants brought to the United States as little ones.

FILE - Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) demonstrators stand outside the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington, June 15, 2020.

FILE – Deferred Motion for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) demonstrators stand outside the U.S. Supreme Courtroom in Washington, June 15, 2020.

In 2018, Texas and other Republican-led states sued the federal government, arguing that DACA harms states economically simply because they legally need to give schooling, health care, and other providers to all inhabitants of their states, together with undocumented immigrants.

The states further more argue that only Congress has the authority to grant immigration advantages.

The circumstance was submitted in the U.S. District Courtroom for the Southern District of Texas, the place U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen ruled DACA is unlawful but permitted it to continue on for existing recipients. That ruling was appealed to the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which returned the scenario to the reduced courtroom for even further overview. The court, however, upheld Hanen’s ruling that DACA is illegal.

Hanen has but to plan a new listening to.

Variety visa situations

Goodluck v. Biden brings together two instances in which tens of 1000’s of persons are preventing for immigrant visas that they were being awarded in 2020 and 2021 under the range visa system. The visas expired prior to the winners could get authorization to vacation to the U.S. for causes relevant to the pandemic.

The range visa application, usually acknowledged as the environmentally friendly card lottery, is licensed beneath the Immigration Act of 1990 to boost the range among the immigrants to the United States.

Visa lottery winners sued and ultimately U.S. District Court docket Choose Amit P. Mehta purchased the Biden administration to reserve a lot more than 7,000 expired diversity visas for the winners whose apps have been not prioritized for processing right after U.S. consulates reopened as the pandemic eased.

Immigration law firm Curtis Morrison informed VOA that the federal courts have told the Biden administration it requires to suitable the situation for these hundreds of visa applicants and their families.

The Goodluck scenario is now in entrance of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. Oral arguments took spot in September right after the Section of State appealed Mehta’s get. The variety visa litigation can impact a lot more than 30,000 individuals.

“The division believes the courts misinterpreted the legislation in obtaining that the department’s insurance policies were being unlawful and that the courts exceeded their authority in purchasing the section to course of action and difficulty range visas outside of the statutory deadline,” according to the State Department’s web site.

Bipartisan group of senators renew call for immigration reform during border trip

Bipartisan group of senators renew call for immigration reform during border trip

A lot less than 24 hours immediately after President Joe Biden made the similar vacation, a bipartisan group of senators on Monday frequented the southern border in El Paso, Texas, as they perform to craft an elusive legislative reaction to the ongoing surge of migrants moving into the United States.

The team, led by Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, spanned the political spectrum.

Cornyn, who has manufactured greater border stability a top rated precedence, was joined by Republican Sens. Thom Tillis, Jerry Moran and James Lankford, all of whom toured an El Paso migrant facility on Monday afternoon along with newly minted impartial Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, best Biden ally Sen. Chris Coons, D-Del., and Democratic Sens. Chris Murphy and Mark Kelly, of Connecticut and Arizona, respectively.

Soon after assembly with city officials, nonprofits and company homeowners to explore the influence that migration in El Paso has had on the city and touring a short term facility for migrants, the group of senators renewed their dedication to trying to discover a legislative remedy to what customers from both functions referred to as a “crisis” at the border.

Earlier endeavours to go significant immigration laws have regularly stalled in Congress, in which the problem divides Republicans.

“We want an immigration technique that is risk-free, orderly, humane and lawful,” Cornyn reported at a information convention in El Paso. “We maintain listening to from President Biden and other people that we need Congress to stage up and present some solutions, and I’m happy that we are.”

The team has vowed to form a bipartisan coalition that will get the job done to flesh out a attainable strategy in the new Congress. Nearly anything the senators come up with will have to have bipartisan cooperation to apparent the necessary 60-vote threshold, presented the recent 51-49 split involving Democrats and Republicans.

“This method is not functioning any for a longer period,” Murphy reported. “And it is time for us to occur with each other, Republicans and Democrats, and locate a greater route forward.”

Bipartisan group of senators renew call for immigration reform during border trip

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema speaks throughout a Senate Homeland Protection and Governmental Affairs committee hearing to examine social media’s effect on homeland protection, Sept. 14, 2022, on Capitol Hill in Washington.

Alex Brandon/AP, FILE

Whilst the senators’ attendance highlighted the continued bipartisan fascination in legislating alongside the border, the actuality is more difficult for any proposal in the newly divided 118th Congress.

When Democrats managed the two chambers by means of final calendar year, they failed to transform the asylum process or build a pathway to citizenship for so-termed “Dreamers,” who are younger adult migrants who were being illegally introduced to the U.S. as children. Democrats’ efforts stumbled in part for the reason that of GOP insistence that any immigration reform deal include things like funding for border safety.

An 11th-hour proposal, led by Sinema and Tillis, would have provided tens of billions for border security and asylum request processing, as effectively as a path to citizenship for Dreamers. But it by no means came to the floor all through the lame-duck session in advance of the last Congress ended.

Sinema, during Monday’s border go to, sought to breathe new daily life into that proposal, suggesting it would provide as a framework for bipartisan conversations relocating forward.

Quite a few of the senators that frequented the border on Monday also served as crucial negotiators on main bipartisan parts of legislation that the Senate handed throughout the 1st two decades of Biden’s presidency, together with the infrastructure funding bill, gun protection laws, the exact-sexual intercourse relationship invoice and additional.

“There’s no one else to flip to. It is our responsibility, it is our occupation to test to handle these really hard, multifaceted complications,” Cornyn reported. “There is no choice but to move up and offer with this the best we can. This team of senators has a background of dealing with issues, difficult political problems.”

But with the House now managed by Republicans, Congress is probably to be at odds around any immigration proposal out of the Senate.

Sinema said Monday that she expects any negotiated package to be extra on to an immigration invoice sent above from the Residence. That signifies getting at minimum 60 senators to aid the package deal and then finding individuals modifications back again via the decreased chamber.

Dwelling Republicans will not likely be fast to enable Biden in working with a crisis that they argue is mostly of his possess producing — criticism his administration rejects, indicating they are grappling with broader forces though looking for to humanely reply to determined persons, lots of of whom are still remaining turned absent.

Biden on Sunday manufactured his 1st border go to as president, amid sharp GOP criticism. Republicans have called for the impeachment of his Homeland Protection Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, accusing equally men of disregarding the migration challenge.

“We are working within just a damaged immigration technique that Congress has unsuccessful to repair service for a long time,” Mayorkas told ABC “This Week” anchor George Stephanopoulos on Sunday, echoing the president’s connect with for legislative action.

PHOTO: President Joe Biden walks with U.S. Border Patrol agents along a stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border in El Paso Texas, Jan. 8, 2023.

President Joe Biden walks with U.S. Border Patrol brokers along a stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border in El Paso Texas, Jan. 8, 2023.

Andrew Harnik/AP

On Monday, the bipartisan group of senators in El Paso stated they were geared up to take up that get the job done.

“President Biden has requested us to choose the up coming phase. I appear forward to remaining a portion of this group and undertaking so,” Coons claimed.

Though in El Paso, the senators observed a variation of the city that some critics suggested was sanitized or cleaned up in advance of Biden’s take a look at, which did not see him fulfill with any migrants. The city’s mayor, Oscar Leeser, who achieved with the team on Monday, reported El Paso appeared to be in much better condition only due to the fact the migration numbers have not long ago gone down.

Leeser provided the senators with a guide of pictures he took himself over the previous several months, which he explained reveals the city when ailments have been even worse. He explained pics of migrants arriving in vans and sleeping on the streets.

He explained to the senators that he experienced a a single-on-just one discussion with Biden through the president’s stop by and that he showed Biden the photograph e book, which they went via website page by web page.

Cornyn reported he was “really appreciative” of Biden’s check out to his property state but included that he hoped the shots Leeser offered confirmed the president that “what we see right now is not what we observed two weeks in the past, not what we may well see future 7 days.”

The group of lawmakers will proceed their border visit on Tuesday in Arizona, the place they’ll be briefed by the Arizona Countrywide Guard and Border Patrol and tour a migrant processing centre.

Editor’s take note: A past version of this tale stated that Sen. Kyrsten Sinema led the excursion. Sinema is primary the Arizona leg of the excursion scheduled for Tuesday, but Sen. Cornyn led Monday’s Texas check out. The tale has been up-to-date to mirror this.

Texas Sen. John Cornyn calls for ‘humane and legal’ immigration reform

Texas Sen. John Cornyn calls for ‘humane and legal’ immigration reform

Biden’s immigration restrictions caps spots for migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela.

Biden’s immigration restrictions caps spots for migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela.

Ahead of his first trip to the US-Mexico border, and meetings with Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador this week, President Joe Biden’s administration announced stringent new immigration rules last Thursday, capping humanitarian parole visas at 30,000 per month to eligible people from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela.

The new rule doesn’t replace Title 42, the contentious authority former President Donald Trump imposed at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic that allows the US to rapidly expel migrants, ostensibly to limit the spread of the disease. Instead, the new rules expand the powers granted under Title 42, enabling the administration to rapidly expel certain migrants who don’t follow the correct procedure to apply for humanitarian parole.

Biden has said that the new rules aren’t a permanent solution to stalled congressional immigration reform, but a stopgap to deal with an overwhelming influx of people trying to enter the US. In fiscal year 2022, border encounters reached 2.76 million, an increase of 1 million over the previous year.

The aim of the new program is to stop people from crossing outside an official port of entry without a visa status, as millions of migrants who enter the US through the southern border do. Since Biden’s new rules have taken effect, entering without the financial sponsorship and background checks required to obtain humanitarian parole is an automatic disqualification for the program, even if a migrant is from an eligible country of origin.

The new rules may complicate many migrants’ attempts to seek asylum, as they have a right to do. It also potentially exposes them to great risk in Mexico, where they will be sent should they fail to meet the new criteria, and which is ill-equipped to protect or provide for them.

Though the new, embattled Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy has vowed to take on immigration reform, the realities of both a divided Congress and his own diminished power call into question what he might be able to accomplish. And that means this new rule, and any others the Biden administration decides upon, are likely to guide US immigration policy for the months — and even years — to come.

What do the new rules entail?

The new humanitarian parole program applies to people from four nations: Cuba, Haiti, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. Under the new program, only 30,000 per month total from these four countries will be eligible for humanitarian parole.

Under Biden’s new rules, people from those four nations seeking safety in the US must have a sponsor — someone who is financially responsible for them — for two years, enter through a legitimate port of entry, apply for the status online before they arrive, pass rigorous vetting, and not have attempted an irregular crossing after January 5, 2023.

These four nations have been singled out for the program because of the uptick in encounters — in some cases, as much as a sixfold increase in just a year — at the border. Also a factor is the difficulty of deporting migrants back to their countries of origin; Venezuela, Nicaragua, and Cuba in particular, due to tense or nonexistent diplomatic relationships with the US, don’t readily accept deportations, and the administration’s deportation of Haitian migrants to a nation in severe turmoil has brought about public condemnation and even caused Daniel Foote, a former special envoy to Haiti, to resign in 2021.

Those who attempt a land crossing outside a legitimate port of entry will be rapidly expelled under the Title 8 statute or the more expedient Title 42 authority, which is not immigration law, but rather a public health authority — and a scientifically dubious one, at that. Title 42 was originally meant to stop the spread of Covid-19; with about 70 percent of the US now fully vaccinated, most public health experts believe the authority no longer has much utility.

The Biden administration attempted several times last year, most recently in December, to end the program, sparking anxiety in border cities and towns about an uncontrollable flood of migrants. However, the Supreme Court issued a stay on the DHS’s plan to roll back the rule. Biden’s new rules rely on that stay, amping up the expulsions under Title 42 and persisting in using the rule as immigration policy.

Separately, the Department of Justice and the DHS proposed a new rule on January 5, not yet in place, which will require migrants seeking asylum in the US to first request — and be turned away from — refuge in another country through which they transited on their way to the border.

Biden speaks with people in uniform in front of a tall, grim-looking wall.

President Joe Biden speaks with US Customs and Border Protection officers as he visits the US-Mexico border in El Paso, Texas, on January 8.
Jim Wilson/AFP via Getty Images

Underlying both Republicans’ frustration with the uptick in irregular border crossings and the questionable tactics the government has deployed to combat them is the fact that immigration law has been in stasis for decades, with few significant updates to match the realities, particularly at the southern border.

The immigration system hasn’t had a major overhaul since the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965, which did away with the policy of limiting immigration based on country of origin, a highly xenophobic tenet of the Immigration Act of 1924.

Bipartisan efforts in the Senate, including an end-of-the-year push by Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ) and Thom Tillis (R-NC), have floundered. McCarthy has pledged to tackle immigration in his new role, promising “no more ignoring this crisis of safety and sovereignty,” though what that would entail besides impeaching DHS head Alejandro Mayorkas and holding hearings on the issue at the southern border isn’t clear.

What the new system means for migrants

In Cuba, deepening poverty due to the impact of tightened US sanctions and the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, as well as political repression in the wake of mass antigovernment protests in 2021, caused an attempted 220,908 crossings at the southern border in 2022, a nearly sixfold increase from the previous year according to data from the Department of Homeland Security.

DHS has already been utilizing the humanitarian parole program with Venezuelan migrants since October of 2022, following a sharp increase — from 2,787 encounters in 2020 to 187,716 in 2022 — in encounters at the southern US border. In Venezuela, too, the economy spiraled over the past decade and despite some improvement last year, inflation reached a crippling 155 percent in October, according to Reuters, causing about 7 million Venezuelans to leave the country. Since implementing the humanitarian parole program for Venezuelans, DHS has seen a 76 percent decrease in irregular border crossings, the Washington Post reported Thursday, citing government data.

In 2022, DHS saw 163,876 encounters with Nicaraguans, more than triple that of the previous year. Political repression in the country has intensified under President Daniel Ortega, with the government killing and detaining protestors and political opponents, holding what many assess to be sham elections, and silencing civil society organizations and the free press, according to Human Rights Watch. And Haitians, who attempted 53,910 crossings at the southern border last year, have suffered from gang violence, disease, natural disaster, and political instability — most recently following the assassination of President Jovenel Moïse in 2021.

All this means potential migrants who don’t meet the qualifications for the new program and attempt entry anyway will be expelled to Mexico or deported back to their country of origin.

Despite the desperation in these countries, migrants coming to the US from Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, and Haiti won’t be able to claim asylum under the new program. Claiming asylum is a legal process by which a person, due to a severe threat to their life because of their identity or for political reasons, seeks refuge in another nation. It requires significant documentation and proof of danger to the person’s life due to factors out of their control. The humanitarian parole program, however, is more restrictive and only lasts two years, after which time they will be expelled or have to leave (though re-paroles are granted in specific cases).

That’s the main issue for critics of the new policy: Even though it identifies a legal pathway for people in crisis to come to the US, it prevents many more who are likely highly vulnerable — without a financial sponsor, a safe and legal route, or the ability to apply for the program online — from applying for asylum, shuttling them to Mexico in unsafe and inadequate conditions, or stranding somewhere along the route from their home countries to the US.

Mexico has agreed to take in an additional 30,000 people per month who attempt an irregular border crossing. Though the Biden administration has also attempted to end the so-called “Remain in Mexico” program, which requires migrants to wait for US asylum hearings in that country, and even stopped enrolling migrants in it in August, it’s technically still in place. It’s not clear how many migrants awaiting their asylum hearings are still being kept in Mexico, but Human Rights Watch, as well as other human rights groups, documented the dangers that faced them there, including rape, kidnapping, torture, assault, and murder.

Biden’s new policy is far from a long-term solution to the immigration crisis that’s plagued the country for decades, but it also doesn’t have an ending point, and it’s not clear what the long-term prospects are even for those who receive humanitarian parole. Without immigration reform at the congressional level, there’s no end in sight for the slapdash policies that have been the norm for the past several years, both under Trump and Biden.